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Regular-article-logo Saturday, 20 April 2024

Medvedev quits, Putin urges charter change

PM’s move fuels speculation that the President plans to stay in power when his term ends in 2024

Andrew Higgins/New York Times News Service Moscow Published 15.01.20, 07:46 PM
Sergei Shoigu attends a cabinet meeting with President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev in Moscow, Russia, on, January 15, 2020

Sergei Shoigu attends a cabinet meeting with President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev in Moscow, Russia, on, January 15, 2020

Prime Minister Dmitri A. Medvedev of Russia abruptly resigned on Wednesday, shortly after his political patron, President Vladimir V. Putin, sent the country’s political elite into a swirl with proposals for sweeping constitutional changes that could extend his hold on power for many years.

Medvedev’s cabinet also resigned.

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In a statement issued by the Russian news agency Tass, Medvedev, a lawyer who has known Putin since they worked together in St Petersburg in the 1990s, linked the unexpected resignations to an overhaul put forward earlier on Wednesday by Putin.

Putin, who under current law must step down in 2024, proposed amending the Russian Constitution to expand the powers of Parliament and a body called the State Council, which carries little weight.

Medvedev said those moves would “introduce significant changes” to “the balance of power” between the executive, the legislature and the judiciary. Putin named him as deputy head of the Kremlin Security Council, a powerful body that includes defence and security officials.

It was not immediately clear whether the resignations signalled a rift at the top of Russia’s hierarchy or were part of a coordinated but as-yet-unclear plan by Putin to hold onto power and reshape the political system that has been in place with only minor adjustments since the early 1990s.

He and Medvedev have choreographed moves in the past that allowed Putin to remain in charge; in 2008, when Putin faced term limits, Medvedev was elected President. Putin became Prime Minister, though he remained the real power in the government, and he returned to the presidency in 2012, when Medvedev became Prime Minister.

Putin described the proposed constitutional changes in his annual state of the nation address on Wednesday as an effort to enhance democracy. They would be the first major overhaul of Russia’s political system since 1993, when the country’s first democratically elected President, Boris N. Yeltsin, sent tanks into the centre of Moscow to subdue a rebellious legislature and then ordered a referendum to endorse a new Constitution.

Putin, on a roll abroad but becalmed at home by Russia’s stagnant economy, has a long record of wrong-footing friends and foes, and he has ensured that he has remained the arbiter on all important decisions in Russia since Yeltsin resigned on December 31, 1999.

The Constitution limits a President to two consecutive terms, meaning that without a change, Putin would have to leave that office in 2024, though he has dropped hints about keeping his grip on power beyond that date. Russia has been abuzz for months with speculation about whether he would come up with a manoeuver to extend his rule — or, if not, who might succeed him.

Already in power for 20 years, longer than any Kremlin leader since Stalin, Putin shed no light on Wednesday on his own exact plans, but instead opened a Pandora’s box of possible options.

The resulting uncertainty puts the political elite off balance, helping to ensure that Putin avoids becoming a lame duck and remains the pivot around which the country revolves.

Opposition politicians seized on his proposals as evidence that he planned to stay in power indefinitely. Mikhail M. Kasyanov, a former Prime Minister who is now a fierce critic of Putin, said the President had given a “clear answer” to questions about his future: “I will remain President forever.”

Alexander Baunov, a political analyst in Moscow, drew a very different conclusion in remarks on Twitter: “The President will be weaker and it is beyond doubt now (despite earlier speculation that he would somehow stay on) that the President will no longer be Putin.”

Putin could be contemplating a return to the Prime Minister’s office, but this time at the helm of a newly empowered parliament.

Others saw signs that Putin intended to leave his post as President and create a system similar to that of Kazakhstan, where the longtime President, Nursultan A. Nazarbayev, who stepped down last year as his country’s formal leader, took the new title as “leader of the people” and has remained in overall control.

Medvedev’s move from the premiership to the security council reminded many analysts of the way in which Putin shoved him aside as President in 2012.

When Medvedev held the presidency, he and his patron were not always in sync, to the annoyance of Putin, who undid several of his measures.

In particular, Putin was angry that Medvedev had declined to use a UN veto in 2011 to block airstrikes against Libya, attacks that helped topple the government of Colonel Muammar Qaddafi.

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